Scenario forecast of the development of the Northern Sea Route


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Abstract

The main exogenous (natural resources, climate, and world oil and gas markets) and endogenous (transport infrastructure, investments, and icebreaking and commercial fleets) factors are specified in the article as influencing freight traffic in areas of the Arctic waters. The scenarios of the development of freight flows of the Northern Sea Route in the short and strategic term are substantiated.

About the authors

N. I. Komkov

Institute of Economic Forecasting of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Author for correspondence.
Email: komkov_ni@mail.ru
Russian Federation, St. Petersburg

V. S. Selin

Lusin Institute for Economic Problems of the Kola Scientific Center

Email: komkov_ni@mail.ru
Russian Federation, Apatity

V. A. Tsukerman

Lusin Institute for Economic Problems of the Kola Scientific Center

Email: komkov_ni@mail.ru
Russian Federation, Apatity

E. S. Goryachevskaya

Lusin Institute for Economic Problems of the Kola Scientific Center

Email: komkov_ni@mail.ru
Russian Federation, Apatity


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