To the Problem of Verification of Methods for Short-range Forecasting of Hydrological Parameters
- 作者: Sokolov A.1, Bugaets A.2,3
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隶属关系:
- Primorye Administration for Hydrometeorology and Environmental Monitoring
- Pacific Institute of Geography, Far Eastern Branch
- Far Eastern Regional Hydrometeorological Research Institute
- 期: 卷 43, 编号 8 (2018)
- 页面: 539-543
- 栏目: Article
- URL: https://journals.rcsi.science/1068-3739/article/view/230664
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.3103/S106837391808006X
- ID: 230664
如何引用文章
详细
The main principles of the existing methodology for the verification of forecasting techniques in the absence of the sample volume impact on the accuracy of determination of statistical parameters are considered. A method is proposed for the verification, comparison, and selection of forecasting methods. The method is based on the persistence of the predicted phenomenon and allows creating optimum forecast schemes with account of priority of expected parameters of accuracy. It is anticipated that the obtained results will find application in the practice of hydrological forecasting.
作者简介
A. Sokolov
Primorye Administration for Hydrometeorology and Environmental Monitoring
编辑信件的主要联系方式.
Email: sokolov-aa@meteoprim.ru
俄罗斯联邦, ul. Mordovtseva 3, Vladivostok, 690990
A. Bugaets
Pacific Institute of Geography, Far Eastern Branch; Far Eastern Regional Hydrometeorological Research Institute
Email: sokolov-aa@meteoprim.ru
俄罗斯联邦, ul. Radio 7, Vladivostok, 690041; ul. Fontannaya 24, Vladivostok, 690600