River Runoff and Probabilistic Forecast of the Caspian Sea Level
- Authors: Bolgov M.V.1, Korobkina E.A.1, Trubetskova M.D.1, Filippova I.A.1
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Affiliations:
- Water Problems Institute
- Issue: Vol 43, No 10 (2018)
- Pages: 639-645
- Section: Article
- URL: https://journals.rcsi.science/1068-3739/article/view/230734
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.3103/S1068373918100023
- ID: 230734
Cite item
Abstract
The main components ofthe Caspian Sea water balance and water level are assessed. Stochastic models of time series of the water balance components are proposed ustng morphometric dependences specified by creating and processing digital elevation models for the flooded areas. The sea level forecast is obtained by the method of simulation modeling based on algorithms for the generation of Markovian random sequences with non-Gaussian marginal distributions.
Keywords
About the authors
M. V. Bolgov
Water Problems Institute
Author for correspondence.
Email: bolgovmv@mail.ru
Russian Federation, ul. Gubkina 3, Moscow, 119333
E. A. Korobkina
Water Problems Institute
Email: bolgovmv@mail.ru
Russian Federation, ul. Gubkina 3, Moscow, 119333
M. D. Trubetskova
Water Problems Institute
Email: bolgovmv@mail.ru
Russian Federation, ul. Gubkina 3, Moscow, 119333
I. A. Filippova
Water Problems Institute
Email: bolgovmv@mail.ru
Russian Federation, ul. Gubkina 3, Moscow, 119333