Email this article Operative Scheme for the Short-range Complex Forecasting of Wind
- Authors: Bagrov A.N.1, Bykov P.L.1, Gordin V.A.1,2
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Affiliations:
- Hydrometeorological Research Center of the Russian Federation
- National Research University Higher School of Economics
- Issue: Vol 43, No 7 (2018)
- Pages: 436-443
- Section: Article
- URL: https://journals.rcsi.science/1068-3739/article/view/230601
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.3103/S1068373918070026
- ID: 230601
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Abstract
We describe our scheme of the operative wind (and possible gusts) forecasts with the lead time up to 3 days and evaluate its success. It uses joint statistical processing of the results of several best operative forecasting hydrodynamic weather forecasting schemes. This approach allowed us to reduce the error with respect to original schemes. The operative forecast and its evaluation for the period of 2014–2016 is implemented for ~ 2800 cities of Russia, Belarus, and Central Asia. The update results are represented at the official site of the Hydrometeorological Center of Russia every day at 8:30 (a.m. and p.m.), Moscow time.
About the authors
A. N. Bagrov
Hydrometeorological Research Center of the Russian Federation
Email: vagordin@mail.ru
Russian Federation, Bolshoi Predtechenskii per. 11–13, Moscow, 123242
Ph. L. Bykov
Hydrometeorological Research Center of the Russian Federation
Email: vagordin@mail.ru
Russian Federation, Bolshoi Predtechenskii per. 11–13, Moscow, 123242
V. A. Gordin
Hydrometeorological Research Center of the Russian Federation; National Research University Higher School of Economics
Author for correspondence.
Email: vagordin@mail.ru
Russian Federation, Bolshoi Predtechenskii per. 11–13, Moscow, 123242; Myasnitskaya ul. 20, Moscow, 101000
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