Comparison of Regional Atmospheric Model Forecasts under Different Initial and Boundary Conditions


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Abstract

The results of forecasts of the WRF-ARW numerical mesoscale model with two sets of initial and boundary conditions are presented. The first set comprises the forecasts of the GFS global model (USA), and the second set, the forecasts of the SL-AV global model (Russia). The quality of the WRF-ARW forecasts is assessed by their comparison with the data of surface and upper-air meteorological observations for the European part of Russia in winter and summer. It is shown that the 72-hour forecast results are close to the results based on the GFS data if the Russian global model data are used as initial and boundary conditions.

About the authors

R. Yu. Ignatov

Nuclear Safety Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences

Author for correspondence.
Email: prognozist@gmail.com
Russian Federation, ul. Bolshaya Tul’skaya 52, Moscow, 115191

M. Yu. Zaichenko

Hydrometeorological Research Center of the Russian Federation

Email: prognozist@gmail.com
Russian Federation, Bolshoi Predtechenskii per. 11-13, Moscow, 123242

M. A. Tolstykh

Hydrometeorological Research Center of the Russian Federation; Marchuk Institute of Numerical Mathematics

Email: prognozist@gmail.com
Russian Federation, Bolshoi Predtechenskii per. 11-13, Moscow, 123242; ul. Gubkina 8, Moscow, 119333

K. G. Rubinshtein

Hydrometeorological Research Center of the Russian Federation

Email: prognozist@gmail.com
Russian Federation, Bolshoi Predtechenskii per. 11-13, Moscow, 123242

M. M. Kurbatova

Nuclear Safety Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences

Email: prognozist@gmail.com
Russian Federation, ul. Bolshaya Tul’skaya 52, Moscow, 115191


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