New Methods and Technologies of Ice Forecasts for the Arctic Seas

Abstract

Methodological approaches in the area of long- and short-range ice forecasts are discussed. Three basic modern directions of long-term ice forecast development are shown. New methods of long-range ice forecasts developed in the recent decade are presented. The ways of improving the AARI short-range ice forecast method based on the coupled ice-ocean dynamic-thermodynamic model are considered. It is shown that the numerical modeling as a specific branch of ice forecasting requires permanent development. The automation of ice forecasts can be implemented as an automated workplace or as a hardware-software complex.