Assessing the probability of El Niño-related weather and climate anomalies in Russian regions
- Authors: Mokhov I.I.1,2, Timazhev A.V.1
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Affiliations:
- Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics
- Lomonosov Moscow State University
- Issue: Vol 42, No 10 (2017)
- Pages: 635-643
- Section: Article
- URL: https://journals.rcsi.science/1068-3739/article/view/230319
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.3103/S1068373917100028
- ID: 230319
Cite item
Abstract
The risk and predictability of weather and climate anomalies in Russian regions associated with differen types of El Niño are estimated using long-term data (1891-2015) on surface air temperature, precipitation, and indices of drought and excessive moisture. The probability of anomalies of these parameters in spring and summer months is estimated for different phase transitions of El Niño events.
About the authors
I. I. Mokhov
Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics; Lomonosov Moscow State University
Author for correspondence.
Email: mokhov@ifaran.ru
Russian Federation, Pyzhevskii per. 3, Moscow, 119017; GSP-1, Leninskie Gory, Moscow, 119991
A. V. Timazhev
Obukhov Institute of Atmospheric Physics
Email: mokhov@ifaran.ru
Russian Federation, Pyzhevskii per. 3, Moscow, 119017