Scenario Assessment in Industrial Emergencies
- Authors: Gubina T.A.1, Mosolov A.S.2, Akinin N.I.2
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Affiliations:
- AO PVP Amulet
- Mendeleev University of Chemical Technology of Russia
- Issue: Vol 62, No 6 (2019)
- Pages: 258-266
- Section: Industrial Security
- URL: https://journals.rcsi.science/1068-364X/article/view/226842
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.3103/S1068364X19060024
- ID: 226842
Cite item
Abstract
An algorithm is proposed for determining the target development scenario for an industrial emergency arising from terrorist attack or other unsanctioned actions, by assessment of the threats to critical system elements. Criteria are selected for ranking possible scenarios. The target scenario is identified by multicriterial optimization—specifically, by means of the displaced ideal in fuzzy decision making. By means of the algorithm developed for fuel and power companies, a hazard class may be assigned to any unsanctioned intervention, and improved security measures may be developed.
About the authors
T. A. Gubina
AO PVP Amulet
Author for correspondence.
Email: gubinata@jsc-amulet.ru
Russian Federation, Moscow, 125362
A. S. Mosolov
Mendeleev University of Chemical Technology of Russia
Author for correspondence.
Email: asmosolov@yandex.ru
Russian Federation, Moscow, 125047
N. I. Akinin
Mendeleev University of Chemical Technology of Russia
Author for correspondence.
Email: akinin@muctr.ru
Russian Federation, Moscow, 125047