On one property of martingales with conditionally Gaussian increments and its application in the theory of nonasymptotic inference


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Abstract

A transformation of a discrete-time martingale with conditionally Gaussian increments into a sequence of i.i.d. standard Gaussian random variables is proposed as based on a sequence of stopping times constructed using the quadratic variation. It is shown that sequential estimators for the parameters in AR(1) and generalized first-order autoregressive models have a nonasymptotic normal distribution.

About the authors

V. V. Konev

National Research Tomsk State University

Author for correspondence.
Email: vvkonev@mail.tsu.ru
Russian Federation, Tomsk, 634050


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