Mathematical Model for Evaluating the Technical Condition and Predicting Collapse of Protective Barriers on Flooded Radiation-Hazardous Sites

Abstract

The possible consequences of flooding of nuclear and radiation-hazardous sites and objects should be included among the environmental risks arising during the rapid development of the infrastructure in the Arctic. A mathematical model, algorithms, and software codes for evaluating the condition and predicting the collapse of the protective barriers, and determining the emission rate of radionuclides and the possible radioactive contamination of the environment, including long-term prediction and situation analysis, have been developed. The software codes have been accepted into the government registry at Rospatent.