Estimation of the probability of mechanical systems breakdown by technical state modeling


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Abstract

This study considers the general model of estimating changes in technical state of mechanical systems caused by external action. This model makes it possible to estimate their effect on the probability of breakdowns. The considered examples include the destruction probabilities for crank rods of the opposite compressor to be simultaneously affected by cyclical loading and wear.

About the authors

V. V. Grib

Moscow Automobile and Road Construction State Technical University

Email: impetr@mail.ru
Russian Federation, Leningradskii pr. 64, Moscow, 125319

I. M. Petrova

Blagonravov Institute of Machine Science

Author for correspondence.
Email: impetr@mail.ru
Russian Federation, Malyi Kharitonievskiy per. 4, Moscow, 101990

A. N. Romanov

Blagonravov Institute of Machine Science

Email: impetr@mail.ru
Russian Federation, Malyi Kharitonievskiy per. 4, Moscow, 101990


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