Analysis of Siberian river runoffs in the 21st century


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Abstract

We discuss the results from the analysis of the hydrological input data for a model of Siberian river runoff for the 21st century. The INM, CRNM, GFDL, MIROC5, and HadGEM model calculations according to the RCP 8.5 scenario of the IPCC CMIP5 Project were used for the analysis. The calculations show a positive centennial trend for all the models. These data were used for the calculations of Siberian river discharge to the Arctic Ocean. The river runoff calculations in accordance with the data also indicate a positive trend, though with a different runoff magnitude.

About the authors

V. I. Kuzin

Institute of Computational Mathematics and Mathematical Geophysics, Siberian Branch

Author for correspondence.
Email: kuzin@sscc.ru
Russian Federation, Novosibirsk, 630090

N. A. Lapteva

Institute of Computational Mathematics and Mathematical Geophysics, Siberian Branch

Email: kuzin@sscc.ru
Russian Federation, Novosibirsk, 630090

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