Modern Tools for Evaluating the Effects of Global Trade Wars


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Abstract

This article reviews the most well-known tools for quantifying the effects of trade wars. The most highly cited works on mathematical models that simultaneously consider the economic systems of several states participating in international relations are analyzed. The analysis showed some bias of the results in favor of certain countries and a lack of consideration of the specific features of the economic systems of most of the subjects under study. We will present information about the model complex being developed for evaluating the effects of intercountry trade wars and the results of its use for calculating measures taken by other countries against Russia and China in the next article.

About the authors

V. L. Makarov

Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences; Russian University of Economics

Author for correspondence.
Email: makarov@cemi.rssi.ru
Russian Federation, Moscow; Moscow

J. Wu

Guangzhou Milestone Software Co., Ltd.; Center for Economic and Social Integration and Forecasting, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences; Guangdong Academy of Social Sciences

Author for correspondence.
Email: jw@gzmss.com
China, Guangzhou; Beijing; Guangzhou

Z. Wu

Guangzhou Milestone Software Co., Ltd.

Author for correspondence.
Email: wzl@gzmss.com
China, Guangzhou

B. R. Khabriev

Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences; LLC RT-Business Development

Author for correspondence.
Email: khabrievbulat@me.com
Russian Federation, Moscow; Moscow

A. R. Bakhtizin

Central Economics and Mathematics Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences; Russian University of Economics

Author for correspondence.
Email: albert.bakhtizin@gmail.com
Russian Federation, Moscow; Moscow


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