Medico-demographic and medico-social determinants of the birth rate of the population in the Chechen Republic

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Abstract

BACKGROUND: Over the years, the birth rate in Russia has decreased due to a transformation in the family structure, a change in attitudes toward marriage and family, and economic and social reasons. The ratio of fertility and mortality determines the population reproduction regime, changing economic development and national security conditions. The analysis and assessment of the birth rate in the Chechen Republic is crucial because the results can be used to formulate a system of demographic policy measures considering national traditions of matrimonial behavior.

AIM: To develop recommendations for increasing the birth rate of the population in the Chechen Republic as a territory with strong traditions of the priority of family values.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: The study was conducted based on official statistics of the Chechen Republic for 2010–2021 and a sociological survey of mothers.

RESULTS: Medical and demographic processes in the territory of the Chechen Republic had a general unfavorable trend in the 12-year period from 2010 to 2021. The only positive aspect that can be considered is a threefold decrease in the birth rate in the same period among mothers aged >40 years, as older mothers carry a large burden of chronic pathology, causing a risk to the health of newborns.

CONCLUSION: Negative stable trends in age-specific decline in fertility in the reproductive period among women in the Chechen Republic indicated the unfavorable demographic situation in Russia, despite the priority of family values and stable traditions of large families. The reserves for improving the demographic situation in the region are hidden in the need for systematic information support for families to use their rights to state benefits aimed at protecting motherhood and childhood, monitoring and evaluating the effectiveness of these measures.

About the authors

Marina A. Shapovalova

Astrakhan State Medical University of the Ministry

Email: mshap67@gmail.com
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2559-4648
SPIN-code: 9989-3343

MD, Dr. Sci. (Medicine), professor

Russian Federation, Astrakhan

Akhmed V. Ezhaev

Astrakhan State Medical University of the Ministry

Email: bekhan001@gmail.com
ORCID iD: 0000-0001-9355-2928
Russian Federation, Astrakhan

Alexander S. Yaroslavtsev

Astrakhan State Medical University of the Ministry

Email: yarastr@mail.ru
SPIN-code: 2077-9472

MD, Dr. Sci. (Medicine), associate professor

Russian Federation, Astrakhan

Alexander N. Perepechkin

Astrakhan State Medical University of the Ministry

Email: perep1965@gmail.com
SPIN-code: 5392-6944

MD, Cand. Sci. (Medicine), associate professor

Russian Federation, Astrakhan

Daria A. Abramova

Astrakhan State Medical University of the Ministry

Email: dariashap96@gmail.com
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6023-4824
Russian Federation, Astrakhan

Aliya S. Abdullaeva

Astrakhan State Medical University of the Ministry

Author for correspondence.
Email: alya_kubekova@mail.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6534-7035
SPIN-code: 6682-3573

Cand. Sci. (Psychology), associate professor

Russian Federation, Astrakhan

Gleb A. Saprykin

Astrakhan State Medical University of the Ministry

Email: saprykin.org@mail.ru
Russian Federation, Astrakhan

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Supplementary files

Supplementary Files
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2. Fig. 1. Dynamics of the total fertility rate of the population of the Chechen Republic from 2010 to 2021 (‰).

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3. Fig. 2. Dynamics of the special fertility rate of the population of the Chechen Republic from 2010 to 2021 (‰).

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4. Fig. 3. Dynamics of fertility in women aged 15–19 years from 2010 to 2021 (‰).

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5. Fig. 4. Dynamics of fertility in women aged 20–24 years from 2010 to 2021 (‰).

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6. Fig. 5. Dynamics of fertility in women aged 25–29 years from 2010 to 2021 (‰).

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7. Fig. 6. Dynamics of fertility in women aged 30–34 years from 2010 to 2021 (‰).

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8. Fig. 7. Dynamics of fertility in women aged 35–39 years from 2010 to 2021 (‰).

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9. Fig. 8. Dynamics of fertility in women aged 40–44 years from 2010 to 2021 (‰).

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10. Fig. 9. Dynamics of fertility in women aged 45–49 years from 2010 to 2021 (‰).

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11. Fig. 10. Dynamics of the total fertility rate of the population of the Chechen Republic from 2010 to 2021 (‰).

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