China – USA: Model 2025. Is a New Triangle “Russia – China – USA” Possible?

The article examines the results of J.Biden’s policy towards China, the specifics of Chinese-American relations during D.Trump’s first presidential term (2017–2020) and the initial period of his second administration, including an analysis of trade, economic, military and political ties, and the specifics of the regional and global positioning of the United States and China in 2025. The author examines the problem of how the interdependence of the two powers manifests itself in various spheres in the context of globalization and offers an analysis of the most probable scenarios for the development of bilateral contacts for 2025–2028. It is noted that the following will become areas of increased conflict: trade and tariff wars, restrictions on American investment in technology and infrastructure, restrictions on China’s export of rare earth metals, a reduction in American hydrocarbon imports to China, etc. Special attention is paid to the study of competition in the field of digital economy and artificial intelligence, the reasons for China’s success in the fields of high technology. The prospects for the formation of a new triangle “Russia – China – USA” are unlikely. A trilateral, coordinated agenda on the economy, ecology, finance, security and transport is not in sight.

China, USA, trade, tariffs, sanctions, strategic security, Russia, digitalization