Taiwan Crisis 2022: Korean Dimension

Cover Page

Cite item

Full Text

Open Access Open Access
Restricted Access Access granted
Restricted Access Subscription Access

Abstract

The article describes most important statements and actions of officials, experts and media of both Korean states within the escalation of the situation around Taiwan in summer and autumn 2022, as well as proposes perspectives of foreign policy of North and South Korea in case the conflict is escalated further. North Korea sees the Taiwan issue solely as an internal Chinese affair, and to Pyongyang, the US intervention is an attempt to destabilize the international situation. Seoul, being both a military and political ally of the United States and a major trading partner of the People’s Republic of China, is trying not to anger any of the two great powers. South Korean experts fear that in the event of a military conflict between the US and China, Seoul would not be able to stay neutral. Seoul also does not exclude North Korea taking advantage of the US-PRC conflict and escalating the situation on the peninsula. In this turn of events, the risk of turning the Korean peninsula into a flashpoint is extremely high.

About the authors

Kirill V. Babaev

Institute of China and Contemporary Asia, Russian Academy of Sciences

Russian Federation, Moscow

Anna L'vovna Polenova

Institute of China and Contemporary Asia of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Russian Federation

References

  1. Захаров В.А. Тайвань – яблоко стратегического раздора между КНР и США. Международная жизнь. 2021. № 3, с. 36–45.
  2. Турицын И.В., Рау И. Тайвань во внешнеполитической стратегии КНР: исторические условия возникновения и трудности решения проблемы. Современная научная мысль. 2019. № 2, с. 116–144.
  3. Волошина А.В. КПК и «тайваньский вопрос»: 25 лет после третьего кризиса в Тайваньском проливе. Исторические события в жизни Китая и современность: Сборник статей. К 100-летию Коммунистической партии Китая. Выпуск VI. М., ИДВ РАН, 2021. С. 241–264. doi: 10.48647/k1690-8798-9405-o
  4. Mastro O.S. Taiwan Temptation: Why Beijin Might Resort to Force. Foreign Affairs. Vol. 100. № 4. July/August 2021. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/china/2021-06-03/china-taiwan-war-temptation (accessed 17.03.2023)
  5. Hass Ryan. An American Perspective on the Role of Taiwan in US-China Relations. Foreign Policy at Brookings. Policy Brief. July 2022. Pp. 4–10.
  6. Lee C., Liff A.P. Reassessing Seoul’s “One China” Policy: South Korea-Taiwan “Unofficial” Relations after 30 Years (1992–2022). Journal of Contemporary China. 2022, pp. 1–20. doi: 10.1080/10670564.2022.2113959
  7. Данилова А.И. КНР и Тайвань: сепаратизм или самоопределение? Конфликтология. 2022. Т. 17, № 2, с. 154–162.
  8. Гарусова Л.Н., Мавляшина Е.С., Юрченко Е.С. Внешнеэкономическая стратегия Тайваня в контексте взаимоотношений с КНР и США. Труды института истории, археологии и этнографии ДВО РАН. 2021. Т. 34, с. 130–150. doi: 10.24412/2658-5960-2021-34-130-150
  9. Kim J., Kim K.-J. Backing the US but Avoiding War with China: South Korea’s Dilemma in a Taiwan Conflict. Global Asia. Vol. 17, № 3, September 2022. https://www.globalasia.org/v17no3/cover/backing-the-us-but-avoiding-war-with-china-south-koreas-dilemma-in-a-taiwan-conflict_jungsup-kimkwang-jin-kim (accessed 20.03.2023)
  10. 허재철. 미중 전략경쟁 시기의 대만 문제와 한국의 경제안보 (The Taiwan Issue and Korea’s Economic Security in the Era of U.S.-China Strategic Competition). Korean Institute for International Economic Policy. 09.03.2023. Pp. 55–57. (In Kor.). https://www.kiep.go.kr/gallery.es?mid=a20304000000&bid=0001&list_no=10605 &act=view (accessed 12.04.2023)
  11. Park Ki-Chul. An Analysis of the Scenario of China’s Invasion of Taiwan and Implications for South Korea-U.S.-Japan Security Cooperation. The Korean Journal of International Studies. Vol. 21. № 1 (April 2023). P. 183. doi: 10.14731/kjis.2023.04.21.1.171
  12. Mastro Oriana Skylar & Cho Sungmin. How South Korea Can Contribute to the Defense of Taiwan. The Washington Quarterly. 2022. Vol. 45, № 3, pp. 109–129. doi: 10.1080/0163660X.2022.2126586

Copyright (c) 2023 Russian Academy of Sciences

This website uses cookies

You consent to our cookies if you continue to use our website.

About Cookies