Impact of climatic factors on energy consumption during the heating season

Abstract

Global and regional climate changes produce a significant effect on energy production and consumption, especially on heating and air conditioning in residential, industrial, commercial, and office rooms. In Russia, with its contracting climate conditions, energy consumption varies a lot in different regions. Thus, we have to review the dynamics of energy consumption during the cold season individually for each region of the country. We analyzed the dynamics of duration and temperature of the heating season in Moscow region and completed a comparative study of heat energy consumption, actual and calculated based on the 'degreedays' concept, in the municipal economy of Moscow during the last decade. Based on the actual data analysis, we proved that conservation of energy resources in a large city relies not so much on a shortening of the heating period as on the growth of atmospheric air temperature in winter. The projected climate warming in the Moscow region in the nearest decades, along with measures of energy conservation, will promote a significant reduction in energy consumption of the municipal economy in winter. The results shown in this article were obtained in the process of preparing and implementing project no. 16-17-00114 by the Russian Science Foundation “Analysis of an impact of the regional climate change on the residential and commercial energy consumption of Russian megacities,” within the main area of focus of the Russian Science Foundation, which is “Fundamental Research and Exploration in Main Topical Areas of Focus.” The project was implemented within the framework of the scientific area of focus, which is “Reduction of the Risk and Mitigation of Consequences of Natural and Man-made Disasters” (“Studying Economical, Political, and Social Consequences of Global Climate Changes” problem).