Predictors of severe course of new coronavirus infection (COVID-19): study design
- Authors: Mishchenko T.A.1, Ermakova P.A.1, Ermakova A.A.1, Tseller L.P.2, Rogozhkina Y.A.1, Verteletskaya M.I.3, Burakevich O.A.3, Kardashina Z.Z.3
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Affiliations:
- Tyumen State Medical University
- City Polyclinic №6
- Regional Educational and Methodological Center «MIAC»
- Issue: Vol 94, No 11 (2022)
- Pages: 1246-1251
- Section: Original articles
- URL: https://journals.rcsi.science/0040-3660/article/view/232335
- DOI: https://doi.org/10.26442/00403660.2022.11.201402
- ID: 232335
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Abstract
Aim. To identify predictors of the severe course of a new coronavirus infection.
Materials and methods. A retrospective analysis of 120 clinical case histories of patients hospitalized in hospitals in Tyumen with a confirmed diagnosis of COVID-19 within one year (01.08.2020–01.08.2021) was carried out. The patients were divided into two groups: 1st – with a favorable outcome (n=96), 2nd – with an unfavorable (fatal) outcome (n=24). For a more complete analysis, scales for assessing the clinical condition of patients (SHOCK-COVID), severity assessment (NEWS2) were used. Information processing was carried out in the IBM.SPSS.Statistics-19 program (USA).
Results. As a result of the study, the median age for the 1st group was significantly lower (58 years) than for patients of the 2nd group (69 years; p=0.029). A certain set of laboratory parameters for group 2 patients deviate significantly from the reference values (C-reactive protein – CRP – 7.6 [4.7; 15.2] mg/dl, D-dimer – 1.89 [1.36; 5.3] mcg/ml, ferritin – 605 [446.7; 792] ng/ml). When analyzed in groups, taking into account the main markers of the severity of the disease, using the V.Yu. Mareev CCAS-COVID (Clinical Condition Assessment Scale) scale, for the 1st group, the sum of the set of parameters was 6 [2; 7] points, which corresponds to the average severity of coronavirus infection, for the 2nd group 13 [9; 16] points – severe course. For patients of the 2nd group, a significant increase in the indicators of an unfavorable prognosis was revealed in comparison with the 1st group.
Conclusion. Thus, in this study, the level of CRP, ferritin, D-dimer, the percentage of lung tissue damage according to computed tomography results, SaO2 were significantly associated with an unfavorable prognosis.
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##article.viewOnOriginalSite##About the authors
Tatyana A. Mishchenko
Tyumen State Medical University
Email: poli263@mail.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5464-9903
канд. мед. наук, доц. каф. пропедевтической и факультетской терапии
Russian Federation, TyumenPolina A. Ermakova
Tyumen State Medical University
Author for correspondence.
Email: poli263@mail.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6919-8137
студентка лечебного фак-та каф. пропедевтической и факультетской терапии
Russian Federation, TyumenAnna A. Ermakova
Tyumen State Medical University
Email: poli263@mail.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-0723-0189
студентка лечебного фак-та каф. пропедевтической и факультетской терапии
Russian Federation, TyumenLyudmila P. Tseller
City Polyclinic №6
Email: poli263@mail.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0003-4975-9301
канд. мед. наук, глав. врач, гл. внештат. специалист по организации первичной медико-санитарной помощи ДЗ Тюменской обл.
Russian Federation, TyumenYulia A. Rogozhkina
Tyumen State Medical University
Email: poli263@mail.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-4689-2513
канд. мед. наук, доц. каф. пропедевтической и факультетской терапии
Russian Federation, TyumenMargarita I. Verteletskaya
Regional Educational and Methodological Center «MIAC»
Email: poli263@mail.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0001-8461-5165
канд. мед. наук, врач-методист Регионального учебно-методического центра
Russian Federation, TyumenOlga A. Burakevich
Regional Educational and Methodological Center «MIAC»
Email: poli263@mail.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9443-770X
врач-методист, и.о. рук-ля Регионального учебно-методического центра
Russian Federation, TyumenZarina Z. Kardashina
Regional Educational and Methodological Center «MIAC»
Email: poli263@mail.ru
ORCID iD: 0000-0002-6525-0620
врач-методист Регионального учебно-методического центра
Russian Federation, TyumenReferences
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