


Vol 53, No 5 (2019)
- Year: 2019
- Articles: 8
- URL: https://journals.rcsi.science/0038-0946/issue/view/10437
Article
Features of the Dynamics of Objects Moving in the Neighborhood of the 1 : 3 Resonance with the Earth’s Rotation
Abstract
The paper presents the results of the study of the dynamic structure of near-Earth orbital space in the region of the 1 : 3 resonance with the Earth’s rotation. The results of an extensive numerical-analytical experiment to study the orbital evolution of objects moving in the range of semimajor axes from 20 250 to 20 280 km, with inclinations from 0 to 90 degrees, are presented. The zones of action of five components of orbital resonance and apsidal-nodal secular resonances of low orders are revealed. Maps of the distribution of identified resonances are given. The analysis of the dynamic structure of the orbital space using the fast Lyapunov characteristic (MEGNO) is presented, and the MEGNO map of the region in the plane section (orbit inclination, semimajor axis) is given. It has been shown that the dynamic evolution of most of the orbits is chaotic, which is due to the superposition of different types of resonances.



Exoplanet Habitability: Potential O2/O3 Biosignatures in the Ultraviolet
Abstract
Currently, the strongest remotely detectable biosignature in the Earth’s atmosphere is molecular oxygen (O2) produced during photosynthesis. However, recent studies of geochemical signatures on Earth-like exoplanets suggest that for most of them, atmospheric O2 would not be detectable by a remote observer, except during the last ~500 Myr of evolution. During a long period in the Earth’s history (2.0–0.7 Gyr ago), O2 was likely present in the atmosphere but in low concentrations, estimated at ~0.1–1% of the current level. Although spectral manifestations of O2 are weak at such low concentrations; however, ozone (O3) molecules, which are in a photochemical equilibrium with such low O2 concentrations, cause noticeable spectral features in the Hartley–Huggins UV band (~0.25 µm), with a weaker manifestation in the medium IR-region at about 9.7 µm. Thus, taking the Earth’s history as an informative example (proxy), it can be concluded that a category of exoplanets may exist for which the ordinary atmospheric biosignature can only be identified in the UV range. Accordingly, the article emphasizes the importance of planning for UV observation capabilities when designing future space telescopes for direct observations of exoplanets and their atmospheres, such as the World Space Observatory-UV (WSO-UV), Habitable Exoplanet Observatory (HabEx), or Large UV/Optical/Infrared Surveyor (LUVOIR), for the detection of ozone O3 in the atmospheres of planets with intermediate oxidation states. The article also discusses mitigation strategies for the so-called false positives, i.e., detection of O3 generated in abiotic processes. It also emphasizes the importance and broad implications of studying the Earth’s history as a window to understanding potential biosignatures for exoplanets and the importance of UV observations for identifying habitable exoplanets with next-generation space telescopes.



Probabilities of Collisions of Planetesimals from Different Regions of the Feeding Zone of the Terrestrial Planets with the Forming Planets and the Moon
Abstract
Migration of planetesimals from the feeding zone of the terrestrial planets, which was divided into seven regions depending on the distance to the Sun, was simulated. The influence of gravity of all planets was taken into account. In some cases, the embryos of the terrestrial planets rather than the planets themselves were considered; their masses were assumed to be 0.1 or 0.3 of the current masses of the planets. The arrays of orbital elements of migrated planetesimals were used to calculate the probabilities of their collisions with the planets, the Moon, or their embryos. As distinct from the earlier modeling of the evolution of disks of the bodies coagulating in collisions, this approach makes it possible to calculate more accurately the probabilities of collisions of planetesimals with planetary embryos of different masses for some evolution stages. When studying the composition of planetary embryos formed from planetesimals, which initially were at different distances from the Sun, we considered the narrower zones, from which planetesimals came, as compared to those examined earlier, and analyzed the temporal changes in the composition of planetary embryos rather than only the final composition of planets. Based on our calculations, we drew conclusions on the process of accumulation of the terrestrial planets. The embryos of the terrestrial planets, the masses of which did not exceed a tenth of the current planetary masses, accumulated planetesimals mainly from the vicinity of their orbits. When planetesimals fell onto the embryos of the terrestrial planets from the feeding zone of Jupiter and Saturn, these embryos had not yet acquired the current masses of the planets, and the material of this zone (including water and volatiles) could be accumulated in the inner layers of the terrestrial planets and the Moon. For planetesimals which initially were at a distance of 0.7–0.9 AU from the Sun, the probabilities of their infall onto the embryos of the Earth and Venus, the mass of which is 0.3 of the present masses of the planets, differed less than twofold for these embryos. The total mass of planetesimals, which initially were in each part of the region between 0.7 and 1.5 AU from the Sun and collided with the almost-formed Earth and Venus, apparently differed by less than two times for these planets. The inner layers of each of the terrestrial planets were mainly formed from the material located in the vicinity of the orbit of a certain planet. The outer layers of the Earth and Venus could accumulate the same material for these two planets from different parts of the feeding zone of the terrestrial planets. The Earth and Venus could acquire more than half of their masses in 5 Myr. The material ejection that occurred in impacts of bodies with the planets, which was not taken into account in the model, may enlarge the accumulation time for the planets. A relatively rapid growth of the bulk of the Martian mass can be explained by the formation of Mars’ embryo (the mass of which is several times less than that of Mars) due to contraction of a rarified condensation. For the mass ratio of the Earth’s and lunar embryos equal to 81 (the same as that for the masses of the Earth and the Moon), the ratio of the probabilities for infalls of planetesimals onto the Earth’s and lunar embryos did not exceed 54 for the considered variants of calculations; and it was highest for the embryos’ masses approximately three times less than the present masses of these celestial bodies. Special features in the formation of the terrestrial planets can be explained even under a relatively gentle decrease of the semi-major axis of Jupiter’s orbit due to ejection of planetesimals by Jupiter into hyperbolic orbits. In this modeling, it is not necessary to consider the migration of Jupiter to the orbit of Mars and back, as in the Grand Tack model, and sharp changes in the orbits of the giant planets falling into a resonance, as in the Nice model.



Cascade Processes in Rapid Rotation
Abstract
The process of the kinetic energy and kinetic helicity transfer over the spectrum in an incompressible, rapidly rotating turbulent medium is considered. An analog of the Fjortoft theorem for 3D turbulence is proposed. It is shown that, similar to 2D turbulence, there are two cascades simultaneously: the inverse cascade of the kinetic energy and the direct cascade of the kinetic helicity, which in the case of 2D turbulence corresponds to the cascade of enstrophy. The result is in agreement with our earlier calculations, some recent numerical simulations, and physical experiments on geostrophic turbulence. The proposed scenario is applicable to explain the processes in the liquid cores of planets and fast-rotating stars.



Observations of the Galilean Moons of Jupiter at Pulkovo in 2018
Abstract
We present the results of observations of the Galilean moons of Jupiter carried out at the Normal Astrograph of the Pulkovo Observatory in 2018. We obtained 452 positions of the Galilean moons of Jupiter in the Gaia DR1 catalog system (ICRF, J2000.0) and 671 differential coordinates of the satellites relative to each other. The obtained mean errors in the satellites’ normal positions on the right ascension and declination, which demonstrate the intrinsic convergence of the observational results, are εα = 0.003′′ and εδ = 0.003′′, respectively, for the entire observational period. The errors of one difference are σα = 0.070′′, and σδ = 0.067′′, respectively. The equatorial coordinates of the moons were compared to eight motion theories of planets and satellites. On average, the (O–C) residuals in the both coordinates relative to the motion theories are 0.014′′. The best agreement with observations is achieved by combination of all four motion theories of satellites with the planetary theory EPM2017, which yields average (O–C) residuals of approximately 0.01′′ for each of them. The new results were compared to those of the 2016−2017 observational season. As in the past, peculiarities in the behavior of the (O–C) residuals for Io and Ganymede have been noticed.



Analysis of the Components of a Different Physical Nature in the Interannual Variability of the Total Solar Irradiance Flux
Abstract
By its physical nature, the interannual variability of the solar radiation arriving at the Earth is a duplex with varying ratios of the amplitudes of the components depending on the time resolution. The analysis shows that the amplitude of the long-term variability of the radiation intensity is approximately 95% determined by the variations related to changes in the solar activity. At an annual resolution, the component determined by the solar activity is predominant in amplitude (approximately 80%). At a monthly resolution, the leading component of the duplex is the variation caused by the celestial-mechanical processes (approximately 55%). Thus, the interannual variations determined by the celestial-mechanical processes dominate in the interannual variability of incoming solar radiation within seasonal changes. The results point toward the necessity for a differentiated approach to the use of the values of the interannual solar radiation variability of different physical nature in the climatic models since their weight ratios depend on the time resolution.



Potential Lunar Base on Mons Malapert: Topographic, Geologic and Trafficability Considerations
Abstract
Polar areas of the Moon are prospective sites for construction of a lunar base due to the near constant illumination conditions and the potential presence of water ice in the regolith of cold traps. The mountain Mons Malapert (MM) near the South pole of the Moon is a key candidate for the location of such a base. MM is an ~30 × 50 km mountain elongated in a WNW-ESE direction with a NNE extension. Its summit stands ~5 km above the 1838 km datum, has constant visibility from Earth and long periods of sunlight (87 to 91% of the year). In this analysis we consider the topographic, geologic and trafficability characteristics of Mons Malapert, which need to be taken into account in the further consideration of MM as a lunar base location. The topography and its derivatives were studied using LROC WAC images and the LOLA-based DTM. South of MM lie the ~50 km craters Haworth and Shoemaker whose floors are in permanent shadow and show a neutron spectrometric signature of high water-ice content that may be a source of water for the base. The geology of the MM region is defined by its position on the rim of the South-Pole-Aitken basin, the largest and most ancient impact basin on the Moon. The ancient age of this area is confirmed by crater spatial density which shows ages of ~4.2 Ga. The MM slopes are mostly rather steep: from ~20 to 30°, while slopes on its summit and base are more gentle. LROC NAC images of this area show that while the summit and base of MM are covered by numerous small craters, its steep slopes show a deficit of craters and are complicated by low ridges appoximately perpendicular to the downslope direction. These characteristics of the steep slopes suggest effective downslope movement of the regolith material that, in turn, suggests that the mechanical properties of the surface layer here are relatively weak. The siting, building and operation of a lunar base implies activity not only in-base and close proximity, but also traversing to other distant sites of interest for resources and scientific investigations. So planning the Mons Malapert base requires the detailed analysis of the trafficability of the region. To consider this issue we return to experience gained by the operations of Soviet Lunokhod 1, 2 and the US Apollo Lunar Roving Vehicles. On the basis of new and evolving technology, rovers designed for the MM lunar base may significantly differ from earlier rovers, but consideration of trafficability of the earlier rovers is important for future planning. Our analysis shows that neither Lunokhods nor the Apollo LRV could successfully climb most of the slopes of Mons Malapert. The acceptable trafficability appears to be only possible along the WNW crest of the mountain. For emergency cases wheel-walking rovers may be considered. Mons Malapert seems to be a good locality for the lunar base but more studies are needed.



An Analysis of Heavy Tail and Long-Range Correlation of Sunspot and El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Cycles
Abstract
Heavy tail analysis of Sunspot and El Nino-southern oscillation (ENSO) cycles is performed. Also, their significant behavior is investigated and the long-range correlation (persistency) is also determined. In a time series data, the heavy tail analysis helps to determine the persistency and long term dependency. All Sunspot Cycles and El Nino-southern oscillation (ENSO) Cycles are stationary in nature and each data value is strongly correlated to previous values. The purpose of the modeling performed is to evaluate the strength of long- range correlation as analyzed and to quantify the uncertainty which is hidden in Sunspots and El Nino-southern oscillation (ENSO) Cycles. All Sunspot Cycles and ENSO Cycles have the differencing parameter in the range 0 < d < 0.5 in both self-similar (dS) and self-affine (dA) cases. This means that the background dynamics are more regular. The heavy tail parameter βS (self-similar) as well as βA (self-affine) asymptotically follow the Pareto law which shows that the dynamics for all the Sunspot Cycles and El Nino-southern oscillation (ENSO) Cycles is regular and periodic. Heavy tail parameter (β) and differencing parameter (d = H – 0.5) is obtained from the Hurst Exponent ranging between 0.5 and 1 (persistent data). This study concludes that El Nino-southern oscillation (ENSO) Cycle data behave heavy tail and it is more elongated as compared to Sunspots time series data. All Sunspot Cycles and El Nino-southern oscillation (ENSO) Cycles demonstrate a strong long-range correlation (\(\gamma \)). The strength of self-similar long-range correlation (1 < \(~{{\gamma }_{{\text{S}}}} < 3\)) and the self-affine strength of long-range correlation (–1 < \({{\gamma }_{{\text{A}}}} < 1\)) demonstrate persistency in the perspective that 0.5 < HS < 1 and 0.5 < HA < 1. This study shows that every value of El Nino-southern oscillation (ENSO) Cycles and Sunspot Cycles are strongly correlated to preceding values in both the self-similar and self-affine cases. Unit root test is applied to the tail parameter and the strength of long range-correlation of El Nino-southern oscillation (ENSO) and Sunspot Cycles confirms stationary behavior of the parameters. The variation of earth climatic has a strong influence in Sunspots Cycles and El Nino-southern oscillation (ENSO) Cycles. Sunspots and El Nino-southern oscillation (ENSO) have strong correlation with each other (Asma et al. 2018). The El Nino-southern oscillation (ENSO) cycles influence on the variation of the parameter of local climate which depends on the changes in solar activity.


