Forecasting Challenges and Perspectives Costs of the Logistics System Risk-Based Assurance

At present, openings of large thefts of budgetary funds allocated for armaments and the modernization of the production base and the creation of the latest weapons developments have become more frequent. It was errors and non-compliance with accounting rules that provided more than half of the increase in the total volume of violations. The risks of embezzlement of budgetary funds in the material and technical support of the combat readiness of the Armed Forces of Russia cause enormous damage to the state. In addition, the issues of standardization, unification, cataloging of weapons, military and special equipment in the military organization are resolved separately, the processes of forming information spaces of ministries and departments are not carried out in a coordinated manner, which at present and in the future is the main obstacle to creating data unity [ five]. The situation is aggravated by systemic violations of GOST RV 0015-002-2012 [2]. In this regard, the purpose of this article is to analyze the theft of budgetary funds, the realized risks of both the feasibility study processes and the processes of implementation and operation of the quality management system (QMS) of organizations implementing the state defense order (SDO) in the form of systemic violations of GOST RV 0015-002-2012, as well as the development of promising proposals for forecasting the costs of the logistics system for combat readiness (BG) of the Armed Forces, taking into account the cost of risks. The authors believe that only with a comprehensive impact on the possible risks of the most important components of the processes (price forecast, monitoring of work and implementation of funds), it is possible to increase the economic efficiency of the use of budgetary funds in the material and technical support of the combat readiness of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation.

risk, system, process, certainty, uncertainty, total cost