Vol 76, No 1 (2026)
- Year: 2026
- Articles: 8
- URL: https://journals.rcsi.science/2079-0279/issue/view/28499
System diagnostics socio-economic processes
Assessing the readiness of a maintenance crew for emergency response in power networks under conditions of data incompleteness and semantic heterogeneity
Abstract
This article examines the problem of dispatchers informed and prompt assignment of emergency response teams to respond to accidents. Existing approaches to dispatcher decision support typically focus on assessing the dispatcher's state and cognitive load. These approaches fail to consider the repair team as a single control entity, and the quality of the emergency response team assignment decision is only indirectly described. This paper proposes a three-dimensional ergatic model of «Human-Equipment-Logistics», formalizing the repair team as an integrated system. A team operational readiness index is introduced, a computational experiment is conducted simulating three typical team operating modes, and threshold values for the index are selected. It is demonstrated that the resulting indicator can be used in decision support systems to formalize the procedure for permitting teams to work and improve the transparency of emergency response team assignment.
Proceeding of the Institute for Systems Analysis of the Russian Academy of Science. 2026;76(1):3-14
3-14
On the Possibility of Using Market Mechanisms for the Allocation of the Transport Capacity of the Eastern Railway Hub
Abstract
Under the existing shortage of carrying capacity in the Eastern railway hub, the issue of its allocation is acute. The administrative allocation policy in use creates uncertainty in the market for freight carriers despite the applicable rules intended to ensure non-discriminatory access, the existing market conditions force the regulator to make adjustments to the agreed volumes of freight and the order of passage. The purpose of this research is to analyze the methods of railway transport capacity allocation applied in international practice, including the use of market mechanisms, and to assess the feasibility of their implementation in Russia.
Proceeding of the Institute for Systems Analysis of the Russian Academy of Science. 2026;76(1):15-26
15-26
The Impact of Innovation Platforms on Rural Development
Abstract
This paper analyzes statistical indicators for the development of the agro-industrial complex for 2022-2024, identifies divergent trends in production, and examines the structure, functionality, and growth dynamics of the «Svoe» ecosystem, including expansion of product range, geographic coverage, and trade volumes. Particular attention is paid to the platform's impact on the socioeconomic development of rural areas: increasing producer incomes, diversifying the economy, reducing population outflow, and promoting sustainable farming and agritourism. Promising areas for further ecosystem improvement are identified, including deeper integration with government systems, the implementation of AI, export opportunities, and a focus on remote regions.
Proceeding of the Institute for Systems Analysis of the Russian Academy of Science. 2026;76(1):27-38
27-38
Forecasting development of Russian economy with taking influence of special military operation on it into account
Abstract
Forming the macromodel of Russia, in which information for 2012-2023 years, including period of beginning special military operation (SMO) in Ukraine, is taken into account, and using this macromodel for forecasting development of Russian economy are described in the article. Results of that forecasting for the period until 2038 year by two scenarios, each of which is characterized by values of world prices of Urals oil and natural gas and reference price of gold for 2023-2038 years, are presented; the preferable scenario for development of economy of Russia is determined by these results. Precisions of forecasts of Russian economy indicators for 2022-2023 years, received with using the macromodel, constructed by authors formerly (without taking influence of SMO into account), are estimated. Comparison of results of forecasting by it and by the macromodel, described in this article, is used for estimating influence of SMO on economy.
Proceeding of the Institute for Systems Analysis of the Russian Academy of Science. 2026;76(1):39-51
39-51
Analysis of Russia's Cooperation Opportunities with Other Countries in the Field of Electric Power (Using the Example of the Republic of Cuba)
Abstract
The article examines the problems of electric power development that have emerged in recent years, both as a result of the energy transition and in connection with the increasingly complicated international situation. The Republic of Cuba is taken as an example, where the energy situation is becoming more difficult day by day. Proposals are formulated for possible solutions to Cuba's energy problems with the help of Russia. The authors also emphasize that an unbalanced energy transition from traditional energy to the decarbonization of energy declared in recent years, and an unjustified increase in the use of renewable energy sources, could threaten the achievability of the stated goals. The conclusion is made on the need for serious analysis and use the principles of a systems approach when assessing the proclaimed changes in the structure of electricity generation, as well as when determining the potential of nuclear energy.
Proceeding of the Institute for Systems Analysis of the Russian Academy of Science. 2026;76(1):52-59
52-59
Macrosystems Dynamics
The problem of encountering an evader object
Abstract
The problem of optimal control of the final state of a system is one of the simplest and constitutes the core of any other optimization problem. This paper considers the terminal problem of pursuing an evading object while measuring its distance and velocity in the absence of information about its possible trajectory, i.e., in the absence of a description of its dynamics. The problem statement includes a mathematical description of the object, constraints imposed on control actions, and a quadratic quality functional. The necessary optimality conditions in the problem of synthesizing the corresponding controls are written as the canonical Euler-Lagrange system with the corresponding boundary conditions. Synthesizing the corresponding controls involves finding solutions to boundary value problems, which is typically accomplished using numerical methods. This paper suggests an alternative way to solve two-point boundary value problems based on the assumption of the validity of the inverse principle of optimality by R. Bellman.
Proceeding of the Institute for Systems Analysis of the Russian Academy of Science. 2026;76(1):60-66
60-66
Information Technologies
Compact Empirical GPU Scaling Framework for Neural Network Transformer Inference
Abstract
Transformer models are able to achieve state of the art results across multiple NLP tasks; however, there are still significant challenges in deploying them due to high inference latency and hardware costs. We empirically characterize transformer encoder inference across GPU generations based on over one thousand controlled measurements of DistilBERT, BERT-base, and BigBird-RoBERTa on NVIDIA T4, A10G, and L40S. Our analysis demonstrates that architectural efficiencies are consistent across models and that throughput-performance structure is smooth, low dimensional, and consistent across hardware generations. Utilizing these regularities, we develop a two-point cross-GPU scaling model to predict full throughput-sequence length curves using only a compute-dominated and a memory-dominated measurement. Prediction error decreases with batch size: from 12-13% MAPE at batch size 16 to 6% at batch size 256. The framework allows forecasting throughput, selecting models, planning hardware needs, and minimizing benchmarking on new accelerators.
Proceeding of the Institute for Systems Analysis of the Russian Academy of Science. 2026;76(1):67-76
67-76
System analysis in medicine and biology
Vesselness-Based Semi-Automatic Carotid Segmentation in CTA
Abstract
Cervical carotid artery segmentation in contrast-enhanced CTA supports stenosis assessment and vessel geometry analysis, but routine scans are challenging due to noise, variable enhancement, calcified plaque, and complex bifurcation/skull-base anatomy. This paper presents a semi-automatic approach that combines multiscale Hessian vesselness with slice-wise mask propagation and local intensity-based refinement. Segmentation is initialized from a small set of manual lumen contours, propagated axially using vesselness thresholding and connected-component selection with simple area/centroid constraints, and refined by HU-based region growing within the vesselness neighborhood. Tested on 10 CTA scans, the method tracks the CCA and ICA over several centimeters in most cases, with generally stable behavior at the bifurcation and only occasional switching to adjacent vessels. Across the 8 cases without ICA/ECA switching, the segmentation achieved Dice = 0.925 ± 0.015 and HD95 = 1.13 ± 0.21 mm.
Proceeding of the Institute for Systems Analysis of the Russian Academy of Science. 2026;76(1):77-86
77-86
