Distribution Function of Maximum Discharge: Accounting for Probable Maximum Flood

Аннотация

The problem of obtaining the estimated statistical characteristics of maximum river discharge is considered, taking account of its maximally possible values. The solution method is based on reviewing the distributions bounded from above, i.e., having an upper bound. The extreme value of the discharge, characterized by the error in its determination, is used as the value of the upper limit. The calculated distribution function (probability curve) is derived using a Bayesian approach.